Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 217.203503 244.089018 273.797604 309.199895 350.418135 397.109210 454.307429
2025-03-02 179.755794 216.136275 259.881292 316.939097 390.256856 482.491536 609.219897
2025-03-09 156.224666 196.199737 246.993227 317.390378 414.240001 545.563003 742.037547
2025-03-16 137.466309 178.443653 232.761309 311.706108 426.412170 591.805359 857.692493
2025-03-23 125.313632 167.361814 225.183515 312.818822 446.556785 650.576070 1001.516395
2025-03-30 113.396236 155.006085 213.980106 306.544560 453.807537 689.671800 1120.402396
2025-04-06 104.748277 146.259932 206.753369 304.849024 467.171706 739.614077 1267.245932
2025-04-13 94.469125 134.096238 193.107306 291.286652 458.920532 751.132957 1345.146458
2025-04-20 91.030988 131.813091 194.163533 301.220723 491.277499 838.790854 1590.695962
2025-04-27 88.460581 130.563969 196.592556 313.512915 529.251333 943.176153 1898.253856
2025-05-04 83.835892 125.652491 192.591272 314.139042 545.679078 1008.212089 2135.860514
2025-05-11 78.080984 118.469458 184.194211 305.984698 544.100446 1035.899818 2291.776704
2025-05-18 73.088700 112.286884 177.156103 299.900619 546.457891 1073.871187 2489.166216
2025-05-25 70.751373 110.358165 177.263811 307.165017 577.031149 1180.439788 2906.476439
2025-06-01 67.554176 106.718812 174.030419 307.607255 593.237294 1256.973701 3266.493319
2025-06-08 63.775035 101.810422 168.122932 302.137399 595.751332 1300.805205 3543.287669
2025-06-15 61.244120 98.907385 165.619222 303.208158 613.005912 1385.246060 3986.003816
2025-06-22 57.968892 94.472956 159.944128 297.170104 612.986473 1424.422298 4289.252285
2025-06-29 55.515430 91.364080 156.532512 295.538213 623.206944 1493.777918 4735.245467
2025-07-06 51.842531 85.832940 148.137705 282.482003 603.918181 1476.089058 4835.529831
2025-07-13 51.109188 85.656303 150.059983 292.045836 642.385771 1635.685164 5747.981827
2025-07-20 50.639190 85.931168 152.872375 303.876053 688.644853 1831.630955 6950.742610
2025-07-27 48.983256 83.863368 150.849739 304.478536 705.223843 1937.421882 7794.770194